Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 40.06%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 35.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.27%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 2-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.