Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 39.1%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.