Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 38.5%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 36.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.23%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-0 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.