MX23RW : Tuesday, December 3 15:03:20| >> :60:625:625:
CAF Champions League | First Preliminary Round | 1st Leg
Aug 17, 2024 at 2pm UK
Masaka Recreation Ground

SC Villa
1 - 2
Ethiopia Nigd Bank

Ngonde (69')
Owori (19'), Kibande (83')
Lwanga (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the CAF Champions League First Preliminary Round clash between SC Villa and Ethiopia Nigd Bank.

Form, Standings, Stats

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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Villa win with a probability of 42.18%. A win for Ethiopia Nigd Bank had a probability of 30.21% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a SC Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Ethiopia Nigd Bank win was 0-1 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
SC VillaDrawEthiopia Nigd Bank
42.18% (1.045 1.04) 27.61% (0.023000000000003 0.02) 30.21% (-1.074 -1.07)
Both teams to score 47.72% (-0.499 -0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.22% (-0.429 -0.43)57.78% (0.423 0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.48% (-0.342 -0.34)78.51% (0.33499999999999 0.33)
SC Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.95% (0.363 0.36)27.05% (-0.368 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.58% (0.472 0.47)62.41% (-0.479 -0.48)
Ethiopia Nigd Bank Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.41% (-1.016 -1.02)34.59% (1.01 1.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.69% (-1.093 -1.09)71.31% (1.087 1.09)
Score Analysis
    SC Villa 42.17%
    Ethiopia Nigd Bank 30.21%
    Draw 27.6%
SC VillaDrawEthiopia Nigd Bank
1-0 @ 12.23% (0.32 0.32)
2-1 @ 8.49% (0.078999999999999 0.08)
2-0 @ 8% (0.29 0.29)
3-1 @ 3.7% (0.073 0.07)
3-0 @ 3.49% (0.161 0.16)
3-2 @ 1.97% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.21% (0.036 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.14% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 42.17%
1-1 @ 12.98% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 9.36% (0.15 0.15)
2-2 @ 4.51% (-0.083 -0.08)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.6%
0-1 @ 9.93% (-0.108 -0.11)
1-2 @ 6.89% (-0.2 -0.2)
0-2 @ 5.27% (-0.21 -0.21)
1-3 @ 2.44% (-0.141 -0.14)
0-3 @ 1.87% (-0.128 -0.13)
2-3 @ 1.6% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 30.21%

Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for SC Villa
rhs 2.0
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FT
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2Arsenal1374226141225
3Chelsea1374226141225
4Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton136522217523
5Manchester CityMan City137242219323
6Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest136431613322
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1362528141420
8Brentford136252623320
9Manchester UnitedMan Utd135441713419
10Fulham135441818019
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle135441414019
12Aston Villa135441922-319
13Bournemouth135352019118
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham134361724-715
15Everton132561021-1111
16Leicester CityLeicester132471627-1110
17Crystal Palace131661118-79
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves132382232-109
19Ipswich TownIpswich131661324-119
20Southampton1312101025-155


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