We say: Bologna 2-2 Shakhtar Donetsk
While Shakhtar's experience should count in their favour, the Ukrainian champions do not tend to travel well and could come unstuck in Emilia-Romagna.
Bologna's early displays under Vincenzo Italiano have not been convincing, but they can grit their teeth and gain a point before heading to Anfield next month.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bologna win with a probability of 40.18%. A win for Shakhtar Donetsk has a probability of 32.67% and a draw has a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Shakhtar Donetsk win is 0-1 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.86%).