We said: Celje 1-2 Slovan Bratislava
Although full of confidence following their smashing of Flora in the previous round, Celje have to be viewed as underdogs for this tie as they come against the Slovakian champions.
Slovan Bratislava will be looking to pick up an encouraging result on the road ahead of next week's second leg, and we feel that the Sky Blues will go into that all-important clash holding a one-goal advantage.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 51.63%. A win for Slovan Bratislava had a probability of 24.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Slovan Bratislava win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.