Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 10, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Varosi Stadion (Mezokovesd)
We said: Dinamo Minsk 1-0 FC Pyunik
Minsk will enter this opening round of Champions League qualifying as the more match-fit side considering they are already midway through their domestic league campaign, while the visitors have not played a competitive match in two months. We are expecting a close contest but fancy the hosts to edge this first-leg encounter.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Pyunik win with a probability of 44.95% . A win for Dinamo Minsk had a probability of 28.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.5% .
The most likely scoreline for a FC Pyunik win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (8.31%) . The likeliest Dinamo Minsk win was 1-0 (8.84%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%) . The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood .
Result Dinamo Minsk Draw FC Pyunik 28.53% ( -0.16) 26.52% ( 0.12) 44.95% ( 0.04)
Both teams to score 50.04% ( -0.45)
45.61% ( -0.54) 54.39% ( 0.54)
24.24% ( -0.45) 75.76% ( 0.45)
65.93% ( -0.41) 34.07% ( 0.41)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 29.24% ( -0.44) 70.76% ( 0.44)
75.9% ( -0.22) 24.1% ( 0.22)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 41.61% ( -0.31) 58.39% ( 0.31)
Dinamo Minsk 28.53%
FC Pyunik 44.95%
Draw 26.51%
Dinamo Minsk Draw FC Pyunik 1-0 @ 8.84% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 6.77% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 4.76% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.43% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.71% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.29% Total : 28.53% 1-1 @ 12.58% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.21% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.51% 0-1 @ 11.68% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 8.95% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 8.31% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 4.25% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 3.94% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.62% Total : 44.95%
How you voted: Dinamo Minsk vs Pyunik
Dinamo Minsk
Draw
FC Pyunik
85
rhs 2.0
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