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Midtjylland
Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 21, 2020 at 8pm UK
MCH Arena
Atalanta logo

Midtjylland
0 - 4
Atalanta


Sisto (74')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Zapata (26'), Papu (36'), Muriel (42'), Miranchuk (89')
Romero (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League fixture between FC Midtjylland and Atalanta BC, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 36.74%. A win for FC Midtjylland had a probability of 35.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.87%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest FC Midtjylland win was 1-0 (10.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
FC MidtjyllandDrawAtalanta BC
35.42%27.85%36.74%
Both teams to score 48.26%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.32%57.68%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.57%78.44%
FC Midtjylland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.06%30.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.76%67.24%
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.88%30.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.74%66.26%
Score Analysis
    FC Midtjylland 35.42%
    Atalanta BC 36.73%
    Draw 27.84%
FC MidtjyllandDrawAtalanta BC
1-0 @ 10.93%
2-1 @ 7.69%
2-0 @ 6.41%
3-1 @ 3.01%
3-0 @ 2.51%
3-2 @ 1.81%
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 35.42%
1-1 @ 13.11%
0-0 @ 9.32%
2-2 @ 4.62%
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.84%
0-1 @ 11.18%
1-2 @ 7.87%
0-2 @ 6.71%
1-3 @ 3.15%
0-3 @ 2.68%
2-3 @ 1.85%
1-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 36.73%

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