Champions League

Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg

Jul 27, 2021 at 5pm UK

Bolt Arena

HJK Helsinki
2 - 2
Malmo

(Malmo win 4-3 on aggregate)

Tenho (1'), Riski (78')
Riski (3'), Valencic (40'), Lingman (45+1'), Jair (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Christiansen (10'), Birmancevic (76')
Innocent (22'), Nalic (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between HJK Helsinki and Malmo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 47.29%. A win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 28.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-2 (7.93%). The likeliest HJK Helsinki win was 1-0 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
HJK Helsinki	Draw	Malmo
28.05%	24.65%	47.29%

Both teams to score 55.55%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.96%

47.04%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.72%

69.28%

HJK Helsinki Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.41%

30.59%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.17%

66.82%

Malmo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.04%

19.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.88%

52.12%

Score Analysis

HJK Helsinki 28.05%

Malmo 47.29%

Draw 24.65%

HJK Helsinki	Draw	Malmo
1-0 @ 7.23% 2-1 @ 6.9% 2-0 @ 4.28% 3-1 @ 2.73% 3-2 @ 2.2% 3-0 @ 1.69% Other @ 3.03% Total : 28.05%	1-1 @ 11.65% 0-0 @ 6.11% 2-2 @ 5.56% 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.65%	0-1 @ 9.84% 1-2 @ 9.39% 0-2 @ 7.93% 1-3 @ 5.04% 0-3 @ 4.26% 2-3 @ 2.99% 1-4 @ 2.03% 0-4 @ 1.72% 2-4 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.89% Total : 47.29%

How you voted: HJK Helsinki vs Malmo

HJK Helsinki

26.0%

Draw

11.5%

Malmo

62.5%