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Champions League
Champions League | Third Qualifying Round
Aug 7, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
 

JagielloniaJagiellonia Bialystok
0-1
Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Jagiellonia Bialystok and Bodo/Glimt, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Jagiellonia Bialystok

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Jagiellonia 0-1 Bodo/Glimt
Wednesday, August 7 at 7.45pm in Champions League
Next Game: APOEL vs. Slovan Bratislava
Tuesday, August 13 at 6pm in Champions League

Bodo/Glimt

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Jagiellonia 0-1 Bodo/Glimt
Wednesday, August 7 at 7.45pm in Champions League
Next Game: Viking FK vs. Bodo/Glimt
Saturday, August 10 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

We said: Jagiellonia Bialystok 1-1 Bodo/Glimt

 Both sides were so impressive in the second qualifying round, and we are expecting a tight contest over the two legs. The home side have been excellent in the early stages of their new campaign, so we are finding it difficult to back them to lose, but Bodo/Glimt should be good enough for a draw on Wednesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 54.04%. A win for had a probability of 23.53% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.83%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest win was 2-1 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%).

Result
Draw
23.53% (0.283 0.28) 22.42% (-0.117 -0.12) 54.04% (-0.171 -0.17)
Both teams to score 58.64% (0.753 0.75)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.07% (0.831 0.83)40.93% (-0.837 -0.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.68% (0.84399999999999 0.84)63.31% (-0.849 -0.85)
Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.1% (0.699 0.7)30.9% (-0.703 -0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.81% (0.812 0.81)67.19% (-0.818 -0.82)
Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.86% (0.23 0.23)15.13% (-0.235 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.29% (0.442 0.44)43.7% (-0.447 -0.45)
Score Analysis
    23.53%
    54.04%
    Draw 22.42%
Draw
2-1 @ 6.09% (0.054 0.05)
1-0 @ 5.49% (-0.103 -0.1)
2-0 @ 3.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 2.38% (0.066 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.25% (0.081 0.08)
3-0 @ 1.26% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 23.53%
1-1 @ 10.36% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-2 @ 5.75% (0.097 0.1)
0-0 @ 4.68% (-0.181 -0.18)
3-3 @ 1.42% (0.062 0.06)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.42%
1-2 @ 9.79% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
0-1 @ 8.83% (-0.266 -0.27)
0-2 @ 8.34% (-0.181 -0.18)
1-3 @ 6.16% (0.037 0.04)
0-3 @ 5.25% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-3 @ 3.62% (0.091 0.09)
1-4 @ 2.91% (0.041 0.04)
0-4 @ 2.48% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.71% (0.056 0.06)
1-5 @ 1.1% (0.025 0.02)
0-5 @ 0.94% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 54.04%

How you voted: Jagiellonia vs Bodo/Glimt

Jagiellonia Bialystok
38.9%
Draw
25.2%
Bodo/Glimt
35.9%
131
rhs 2.0
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