MX23RW : Sunday, February 16 11:21:58| >> :300:86500:86500:
Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 3
Aug 3, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Stadion Miejski

Jagiellonia
2 - 0
Stal Mielec

Pululu (24'), Imaz (66')
Pululu (31'), Nguiamba (44'), Marczuk (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gerbowski (66')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Jagiellonia Bialystok and Stal Mielec.

Form, Standings, Stats

Jagiellonia Bialystok

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Jagiellonia 3-1 Panevezys
Wednesday, July 31 at 7.30pm in Champions League

Stal Mielec

All competitions
Last Game: Stal Mielec 0-1 Katowice
Saturday, July 27 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 60.39%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 17.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Stal Mielec win it was 0-1 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jagiellonia Bialystok would win this match.

Result
Jagiellonia BialystokDrawStal Mielec
60.39% (-0.311 -0.31) 21.71% (0.209 0.21) 17.9% (0.108 0.11)
Both teams to score 52.19% (-0.46 -0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.74% (-0.72 -0.72)45.26% (0.725 0.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.4% (-0.693 -0.69)67.6% (0.69799999999999 0.7)
Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.46% (-0.33199999999999 -0.33)14.54% (0.336 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.42% (-0.647 -0.65)42.58% (0.653 0.65)
Stal Mielec Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.07% (-0.298 -0.3)38.93% (0.304 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.35% (-0.283 -0.28)75.65% (0.289 0.29)
Score Analysis
    Jagiellonia Bialystok 60.39%
    Stal Mielec 17.9%
    Draw 21.7%
Jagiellonia BialystokDrawStal Mielec
1-0 @ 10.91% (0.21 0.21)
2-0 @ 10.52% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.93% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.76% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.38% (-0.084 -0.08)
4-0 @ 3.26% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-1 @ 3.08% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-2 @ 3.01% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.45% (-0.049 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.26% (-0.037 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.19% (-0.045 -0.05)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 60.39%
1-1 @ 10.29% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 5.66% (0.174 0.17)
2-2 @ 4.68% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 21.7%
0-1 @ 5.34% (0.121 0.12)
1-2 @ 4.86% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.52% (0.037 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.53% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.47% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 17.9%

Head to Head
May 4, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 31
Stal Mielec
3-2
Jagiellonia
Shkurin (35'), Matras (48'), Gerstenstein (54')
Nene (12'), Pululu (75')
Skrzypczak (63'), Nguiamba (74')
Nov 3, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 14
Jagiellonia
4-0
Stal Mielec
Normann Hansen (19'), Wdowik (23' pen., 83'), Matras (79' og.)
Marczuk (50')

Santos (58'), Esselink (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Lech Poznan21132637172041
2Rakow CzestochowaRakow21117327131440
3Jagiellonia BialystokJagiellonia20115438271138
4Legia WarsawLegia21106539251436
5KS CracoviaCracovia219753830834
6Gornik ZabrzeGornik2110473026434
7Pogon SzczecinSzczecin2010372921833
8Katowice208573026429
9Motor Lublin208572832-429
10Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice207762219328
11Widzew Lodz217592633-726
12Korona Kielce215881829-1123
13Stal Mielec2064102126-522
14Zaglebie Lubin2064101829-1122
15Radomiak Radom2163122635-921
16Puszcza Niepolomice2147101931-1219
17Lechia GdanskGdansk2046102034-1418
18Slask Wroclaw2128111932-1314
> Polish Ekstraklasa Full Table


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