MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 04:12:01| >> :120:6643:6643:
Ballkani
Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 5, 2022 at 7pm UK
Stadiumi i qytetit Suharekë

KF Ballkani
1 - 1
Zalgiris

Gripshi (15')
Emerllahu (44'), Jashanica (55'), Dellova (85')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Buff (25')
Kyeremeh (51'), Mikoliunas (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between KF Ballkani and FK Zalgiris, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Bodo/Glimt 1-0 Zalgiris
Thursday, August 26 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
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We said: KF Ballkani 0-2 FK Zalgiris

Ballkani will believe that they need to pick up a strong result in the first leg to stand a chance of progressing to the second qualifying round, but we are finding it very difficult to predict anything other than an away success due to the gap in quality between the two sets of players. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FK Zalgiris win with a probability of 65.34%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for KF Ballkani had a probability of 13.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a FK Zalgiris win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.78%) and 1-2 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a KF Ballkani win it was 1-0 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
KF BallkaniDrawFK Zalgiris
13.69% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 20.96% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 65.34% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Both teams to score 45.09% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.21% (0.033999999999999 0.03)49.79% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.2% (0.032 0.03)71.79% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
KF Ballkani Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.72% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)47.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.3% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)82.69% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
FK Zalgiris Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.53% (0.019999999999996 0.02)14.46% (-0.022 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.56% (0.037999999999997 0.04)42.43% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    KF Ballkani 13.69%
    FK Zalgiris 65.34%
    Draw 20.96%
KF BallkaniDrawFK Zalgiris
1-0 @ 5.12% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-1 @ 3.71% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-0 @ 1.92% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 13.69%
1-1 @ 9.91% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.84% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.59%
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 20.96%
0-1 @ 13.22% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 12.78%
1-2 @ 9.58% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-3 @ 8.24% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 6.17% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 3.98% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.98% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.31% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-5 @ 1.54% (0.004 0)
1-5 @ 1.15% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1.12% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 65.34%

How you voted: KF Ballkani vs Zalgiris

KF Ballkani
25.9%
Draw
14.8%
FK Zalgiris
59.3%
54
rhs 2.0
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