Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 3, 2020 at 5.55pm UK
RZD Arena
Lokomotiv1 - 1Atletico
Miranchuk (25' pen.)
Cerqueira (29'), Krychowiak (51'), Rajkovic (54'), Zhemaletdinov (69'), M. (90+5')
Cerqueira (29'), Krychowiak (51'), Rajkovic (54'), Zhemaletdinov (69'), M. (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 54.47%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Lokomotiv Moscow had a probability of 18.13%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.23%) and 1-2 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.31%), while for a Lokomotiv Moscow win it was 1-0 (8.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lokomotiv Moscow | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
| 18.13% | 27.4% | 54.47% |
| Both teams to score 37.46% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
