Ludogorets2 - 0Sutjeska Niksic
Form, Standings, Stats
Thursday, December 9 at 8pm in Europa League
Thursday, July 29 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League
We said: Ludogorets Razgrad 2-1 Sutjeska Niksic
Sutjeska are certainly capable of making this an uncomfortable 90 minutes for Ludogorets, but we are finding it difficult to back anything other than a home victory in the first leg, and the Bulgarian outfit should ultimately have too much quality over the two matches. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ludogorets Razgrad win with a probability of 38.44%. A win for Sutjeska Niksic had a probability of 35.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ludogorets Razgrad win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Sutjeska Niksic win was 0-1 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ludogorets Razgrad would win this match.
Result | ||
Ludogorets Razgrad | Draw | Sutjeska Niksic |
38.44% ( -0.03) | 26.28% ( 0.01) | 35.27% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 53.18% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.53% ( -0.03) | 51.47% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.72% ( -0.03) | 73.27% ( 0.03) |
Ludogorets Razgrad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.85% ( -0.03) | 26.15% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.77% ( -0.04) | 61.22% ( 0.04) |
Sutjeska Niksic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.01% ( -0) | 27.98% ( 0) |