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Malmo
Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 7, 2021 at 6pm UK
Eleda Stadion (Malmö)

Malmo
1 - 0
Riga FC

Colak (50')
Ahmedhodzic (14'), Colak (30'), Innocent (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Muritala (22'), Cernomordijs (29'), Fjodorovs (60')
Muritala (41')
Coverage of the Champions League First Qualifying Round clash between Malmo and Riga FC.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 53.73%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Riga FC had a probability of 22.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Riga FC win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Malmo in this match.

Result
MalmoDrawRiga FC
53.73%23.92%22.34%
Both teams to score 52.18%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.22%48.78%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.12%70.88%
Malmo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.93%18.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.01%48.99%
Riga FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.69%36.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.9%73.09%
Score Analysis
    Malmo 53.73%
    Riga FC 22.34%
    Draw 23.92%
MalmoDrawRiga FC
1-0 @ 11.22%
2-1 @ 9.73%
2-0 @ 9.6%
3-1 @ 5.55%
3-0 @ 5.48%
3-2 @ 2.81%
4-1 @ 2.37%
4-0 @ 2.34%
4-2 @ 1.2%
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 53.73%
1-1 @ 11.37%
0-0 @ 6.56%
2-2 @ 4.93%
3-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.92%
0-1 @ 6.65%
1-2 @ 5.76%
0-2 @ 3.37%
1-3 @ 1.95%
2-3 @ 1.66%
0-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 22.34%

How you voted: Malmo vs Riga FC

Malmo
86.7%
Draw
3.3%
Riga FC
10.0%
30
rhs 2.0
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