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Champions League

Marseille
Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 25, 2020 at 8pm UK
Orange Vélodrome
Porto

Marseille
0 - 2
Porto


Balerdi (29'), Sanson (36'), Kamara (49'), Thauvin (54'), Payet (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sanusi (39'), Oliveira (72' pen.)
Grujic (58'), Conceicao (59'), Oliveira (86')
Grujic (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Marseille and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 38.78%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 37.23% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.22%) and 0-2 (5.6%). The likeliest Marseille win was 2-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
MarseilleDrawPorto
37.23%23.99%38.78%
Both teams to score 61.49%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.16%40.84%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.77%63.23%
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.03%21.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.73%55.26%
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.8%21.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.91%54.08%
Score Analysis
    Marseille 37.23%
    Porto 38.78%
    Draw 23.99%
MarseilleDrawPorto
2-1 @ 8.3%
1-0 @ 7.06%
2-0 @ 5.35%
3-1 @ 4.19%
3-2 @ 3.25%
3-0 @ 2.7%
4-1 @ 1.59%
4-2 @ 1.23%
4-0 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 37.23%
1-1 @ 10.94%
2-2 @ 6.44%
0-0 @ 4.66%
3-3 @ 1.68%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.99%
1-2 @ 8.49%
0-1 @ 7.22%
0-2 @ 5.6%
1-3 @ 4.39%
2-3 @ 3.33%
0-3 @ 2.9%
1-4 @ 1.7%
2-4 @ 1.29%
0-4 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 38.78%