Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 13, 2024 at 6.30pm UK
Stadio Toumbas
PAOK3 - 4Malmo
Taison (21'), Koulierakis (43'), Zivkovic (45+4')
Sastre (37'), Lucescu (38'), Rahman (66'), Murg (90+4'), Koulierakis (100'), Koulierakis (120')
Sastre (37'), Lucescu (38'), Rahman (66'), Murg (90+4'), Koulierakis (100'), Koulierakis (120')
FT
(aet)
(aet)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Jagiellonia 0-1 Bodo/Glimt
Wednesday, August 7 at 7.45pm in Champions League
Wednesday, August 7 at 7.45pm in Champions League
Next Game: APOEL vs. Slovan Bratislava
Tuesday, August 13 at 6pm in Champions League
Tuesday, August 13 at 6pm in Champions League
Last Game: Halmstad 0-1 Malmo
Saturday, August 10 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Saturday, August 10 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Next Game: APOEL vs. Slovan Bratislava
Tuesday, August 13 at 6pm in Champions League
Tuesday, August 13 at 6pm in Champions League
Goals
for
for
45
We say: PAOK 1-2 Malmo (Malmo win 4-3 on aggregate)
This is a really tough match to call, and it would not be a surprise to see it go all the way to penalties. Malmo have so much talent in the final third of the field, though, and we are backing the Swedish outfit to secure a narrow win and book their spot in the playoff stage of the Champions League. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 54%. A win for PAOK had a probability of 23.36% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.16%) and 0-2 (8.53%). The likeliest PAOK win was 2-1 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PAOK | Draw | Malmo |
23.36% ( -2.67) | 22.63% ( -0.61) | 54% ( 3.27) |
| Both teams to score 57.71% ( -0.9) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
