We said: Partizani Tirana 1-2 BATE Borisov
Hitting a rich vein of form at just the right time, a revitalised BATE Borisov side can maintain their winning sequence in Tirana, as Partizani's lack of practice is sure to catch up to them.
The visitors are noticeably lacking an in-form number nine, but Partizani would often struggle to keep the back door shut last term and will surely travel to Hungary for the second leg needing to overturn a narrow deficit.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Partizani Tirana win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for BATE Borisov had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Partizani Tirana win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest BATE Borisov win was 0-1 (10.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.