PSG

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RB Leipzig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 49.78%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 27.64% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.55%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.