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Champions League header

Champions League
PSV
Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 9, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Philips Stadion
Monaco

PSV
3 - 2
Monaco

Veerman (21'), Gutierrez (89'), de Jong (109')
Til (7'), Sangare (23'), Obispo (85'), Ramalho (120+1')
FT
(aet)
Maripan (58'), Ben Yedder (70')
Golovin (36'), Vanderson (78'), Matazo (89'), Maripan (120')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between PSV Eindhoven and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

PSV Eindhoven

Last Six:
Last Game: PSV 4-1 Emmen
Saturday, August 6 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Monaco

Last Six:
Last Game: Strasbourg 1-2 Monaco
Saturday, August 6 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We say: PSV Eindhoven 1-2 Monaco (Monaco win 3-2 on aggregate)

 Both managers could afford to rest key names at the weekend, but both must also work around a number of injury concerns for the second leg, which should prove to be another tense and closely-fought affair. The returns of Golovin and Volland with fresh legs in tow could just tip the balance in Monaco's favour, especially as Clement's side have not shied away from a shot so far this season, and victory should be theirs if they can bury said chances at the Phillips Stadion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 37.59% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.61%) and 0-2 (4.9%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawMonaco
37.59% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03) 22.49% (0.0019999999999989 0) 39.91% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Both teams to score 67.35% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.76% (-0.012 -0.01)33.24% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45% (-0.012 -0.01)55% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.56% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)18.43% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.4% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)49.6% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.57% (0.0040000000000049 0)17.43% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.12% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)47.87% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 37.59%
    Monaco 39.91%
    Draw 22.49%
PSV EindhovenDrawMonaco
2-1 @ 8.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 5.43%
2-0 @ 4.59% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.95% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 2.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.91% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.67% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.1% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-3 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 37.59%
1-1 @ 9.49% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 7.01% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 3.21% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-3 @ 2.3% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 22.49%
1-2 @ 8.29% (0.0029999999999983 0)
0-1 @ 5.61% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 4.9% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 4.83% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-3 @ 4.08%
0-3 @ 2.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 2.11% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-4 @ 1.78%
0-4 @ 1.25% (0.002 0)
3-4 @ 1.01% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 39.91%

How you voted: PSV vs Monaco

PSV Eindhoven
47.8%
Draw
13.8%
Monaco
38.4%
232
Head to Head
Aug 2, 2022 7pm
Monaco
1-1
PSV
Disasi (80')
Matazo (3'), Jakobs (67')
Veerman (38')
Gutierrez (87'), Veerman (88')
Nov 4, 2021 5.45pm
Group B
Monaco
0-0
PSV

Lucas (18'), Maripan (27')

Boscagli (66')
Oct 21, 2021 8pm
Group B
PSV
1-2
Monaco
Gakpo (59')
Gakpo (51'), Vinicius (76')
Boadu (20'), Diop (89')
rhs 2.0
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