Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 46.34%. A win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 26.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Istanbul Basaksehir win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.