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Sheriff Tiraspol logo
Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 10, 2021 at 6pm UK
Bolshaya Sportivnaya Arena
Red Star Belgrade

Sheriff Tiraspol
1 - 0
Red Star

Arboleda Hurtado (45+2')
Kolovos (27'), Cristiano (28'), Julien (30'), Castaneda (30')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Srnic (18'), Sanogo (45+4'), Rodic (64'), Gavric (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Sheriff Tiraspol and Red Star Belgrade, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheriff Tiraspol win with a probability of 48.62%. A win for Red Star Belgrade had a probability of 28.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sheriff Tiraspol win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Red Star Belgrade win was 1-2 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sheriff Tiraspol would win this match.

Result
Sheriff TiraspolDrawRed Star Belgrade
48.62%23.31%28.06%
Both teams to score 60.17%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.04%40.96%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.65%63.35%
Sheriff Tiraspol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.94%17.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.77%47.22%
Red Star Belgrade Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.54%27.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.06%62.94%
Score Analysis
    Sheriff Tiraspol 48.62%
    Red Star Belgrade 28.07%
    Draw 23.3%
Sheriff TiraspolDrawRed Star Belgrade
2-1 @ 9.47%
1-0 @ 8.28%
2-0 @ 7.32%
3-1 @ 5.58%
3-0 @ 4.32%
3-2 @ 3.61%
4-1 @ 2.47%
4-0 @ 1.91%
4-2 @ 1.6%
Other @ 4.07%
Total : 48.62%
1-1 @ 10.7%
2-2 @ 6.12%
0-0 @ 4.68%
3-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.3%
1-2 @ 6.92%
0-1 @ 6.05%
0-2 @ 3.91%
1-3 @ 2.98%
2-3 @ 2.64%
0-3 @ 1.69%
1-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 28.07%

How you voted: Sheriff Tiraspol vs Red Star

Sheriff Tiraspol
33.0%
Red Star Belgrade
67.0%
91
Head to Head
Aug 3, 2021 8pm
Third Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Red Star
1-1
Sheriff Tiraspol
Diony (45+1')
Sanogo (26'), Kanga (32'), Krsticic (86'), Ivanic (90+5')
Kanga (58')
Castaneda (33')
Castaneda (65'), Julien (72'), Dulanto (84'), Bizjak (90')
rhs 2.0
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