Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 5, 2022 at 7pm UK
Park Hall Stadium
New Saints1 - 0Linfield
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: New Saints 3-1 Caernarfon
Saturday, April 23 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, April 23 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
10 | Pen-y-Bont | 0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Pontypridd Town AFC | 0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | The New Saints | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last Game: Linfield 2-0 Coleraine
Saturday, April 30 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership
Saturday, April 30 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
9 | Larne | 0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Linfield | 0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Newry City AFC | 0 | 0 | 0 |
We said: The New Saints 1-1 Linfield
Neither side is likely to give too much away in the first leg of this tie, so it could be a close-fought affair at Park Hall. Nonetheless, the visitors possess enough attacking threat to strike at least once - setting themselves up well for the return in Belfast next Wednesday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 45.46%. A win for Linfield had a probability of 30.77% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Linfield win was 1-2 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
Result | ||
The New Saints | Draw | Linfield |
45.46% ( 0.01) | 23.77% ( 0.01) | 30.77% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 60.34% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.47% ( -0.03) | 41.52% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.07% ( -0.03) | 63.92% ( 0.03) |
The New Saints Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.48% ( -0.01) | 18.51% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.25% ( -0.02) | 49.74% ( 0.02) |
Linfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.05% ( -0.03) | 25.94% ( 0.03) |