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Champions League header

Champions League
Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 9, 2024 at 8pm UK
Campo Sportivo di Montegiardino

Virtus
1 - 7
FCSB

Battistini (86')
Golinucci (17'), Pupeschi (81')
FT(HT: 0-5)
Olaru (6' pen., 11', 37'), Popa (22', 27'), Miculescu (70', 73')
Kiki (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Virtus and FCSB, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Virtus

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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

FCSB

All competitions
Last Game: Rapid Bucuresti 2-0 FCSB
Sunday, May 19 at 7pm in Romanian SuperLiga

We said: Virtus 0-3 FCSB

 Although Virtus come into Tuesday's clash after a strong domestic campaign, it will be difficult for them to compete against their more established opponents. As such, it would not be surprising to see FCSB dominate possession and have prolonged spells in the final third. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FCSB win with a probability of 69.29%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Virtus had a probability of 12.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a FCSB win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.6%) and 1-2 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.9%), while for a Virtus win it was 1-0 (4.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-7 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FCSB would win this match.

Result
VirtusDrawFCSB
12.01% (-0.055999999999999 -0.06) 18.71% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02) 69.29% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Both teams to score 47.34% (-0.126 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.89% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)44.11% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.51% (-0.07 -0.07)66.49% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Virtus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.55% (-0.142 -0.14)46.46% (0.143 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.93% (-0.108 -0.11)82.07% (0.111 0.11)
FCSB Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.4%11.6% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.42% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)36.58% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Virtus 12.01%
    FCSB 69.28%
    Draw 18.71%
VirtusDrawFCSB
1-0 @ 4.13% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-1 @ 3.41% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-0 @ 1.58% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 0.94% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 12.01%
1-1 @ 8.9% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.39% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.67% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 18.71%
0-2 @ 12.5% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-1 @ 11.6% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 9.59% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 8.98% (0.028 0.03)
1-3 @ 6.88% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-4 @ 4.84% (0.015 0.01)
1-4 @ 3.71% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.64% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-5 @ 2.08% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.6% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.42% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 69.28%

How you voted: Virtus vs FCSB

Virtus
20.5%
Draw
9.1%
FCSB
70.5%
44
rhs 2.0
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