Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 40.72%. A draw had a probability of 30.9% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 28.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.49%) and 2-1 (7.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.11%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.