Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 38.43%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 30.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.69%) and 2-1 (7.4%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (12.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.