Championship | Gameweek 28
Jan 22, 2022 at 3pm UK
St Andrew's
Birmingham2 - 1Barnsley
We said: Birmingham City 0-0 Barnsley
In truth, it is hard to see either side having the confidence or the quality to win this game. It is more likely that Birmingham will get the three points, but Blues will be physically and mentally drained after a three-game week and the thrashing at Fulham. We are going for a draw that does neither team much good. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 36.97%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 34.54% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.74%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 0-1 (11.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Birmingham City | Draw | Barnsley |
| 36.97% | 28.49% | 34.54% |
| Both teams to score 46.31% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
