MX23RW : Saturday, November 2 19:43:56| >> :300:86500:86500:
Blackburn logo
Bristol City
Burnley logo
Cardiff City logo
Coventry City
Derby logo
Hull logo
Leeds logo
Luton Town
Middlesbrough logo
Millwall logo
Norwich logo
Oxford United
Plymouth Argyle
Portsmouth
Preston North End logo
QPR logo
Sheffield United logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Stoke logo
Sunderland
Swansea logo
Watford logo
West Brom logo
Birmingham logo
Championship | Gameweek 22
Dec 29, 2020 at 5.30pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Derby logo

Birmingham
0 - 4
Derby

FT(HT: 0-3)
Bielik (15'), Shinnie (17' pen.), Kazim-Richards (26'), Knight (77')
Sibley (67')

The Match

Match Report

Three goals in 10 first-half minutes did the damage at St Andrew's, with Jason Knight scoring late on.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.61%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (11.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawDerby County
32.22%29.48%38.31%
Both teams to score 43.24%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.36%63.65%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.07%82.93%
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.74%36.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.96%73.04%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.84%32.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.35%68.65%
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 32.22%
    Derby County 38.3%
    Draw 29.47%
Birmingham CityDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 11.83%
2-1 @ 6.81%
2-0 @ 6%
3-1 @ 2.3%
3-0 @ 2.03%
3-2 @ 1.31%
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 32.22%
1-1 @ 13.42%
0-0 @ 11.66%
2-2 @ 3.86%
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 29.47%
0-1 @ 13.22%
1-2 @ 7.61%
0-2 @ 7.5%
1-3 @ 2.88%
0-3 @ 2.84%
2-3 @ 1.46%
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 38.3%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Derby

Birmingham City
44.7%
Draw
24.5%
Derby County
30.9%
94
Head to Head
Jul 22, 2020 7.30pm
Gameweek 46
Birmingham
1-3
Derby
Sunjic (56')
(90+4')
Shinnie (6'), Whittaker (87'), Sibley (90+1')
Sep 28, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 9
Derby
3-2
Birmingham
Martin (2'), Waghorn (50'), Paterson (74')
Holmes (44'), Bielik (45'), Malone (92')
Gardner (56'), Sunjic (59')
Alvaro (22')
Apr 19, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 43
Birmingham
2-2
Derby
Jutkiewicz (2'), Morrison (18')
Gardner (38'), Jutkiewicz (56'), Adams (92')
Waghorn (7'), Keogh (28')
Bryson (45'), Waghorn (48'), Cole (66')
Nov 3, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 16
Derby
3-1
Birmingham
Bennett (53'), Wilson (55'), Marriott (73')
Jutkiewicz (10')
Camp (51'), Gardner (65'), Morrison (82')
Jan 13, 2018 3pm
Birmingham
0-3
Derby
Russell (19'), Vydra (56'), Weimann (89')
Davies (33'), Russell (73'), Weimann (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley126511751223
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
8Bristol City134721717019
9Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
10Middlesbrough135351415-118
11Millwall124441512316
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!