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Championship | Gameweek 32
Feb 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
St Andrew's
Luton Town

Birmingham
3 - 0
Luton

Bacuna (25'), Taylor (46'), Hernandez (69')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Osho (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Birmingham City 1-2 Luton Town

Birmingham are likely to get on the scoresheet on Saturday, as they have done so in all of their matches in recent weeks, but Luton's momentum could be the difference between the sides this weekend. Jones's side's good form will stand them in good stead to collect three points this weekend, and the visitors will feel they must beat teams in the lower half of the table if they are serious contenders for a top-six spot. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 44.46%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 27.84% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.68%) and 1-2 (8.61%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawLuton Town
27.84%27.69%44.46%
Both teams to score 46.27%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.99%59.01%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.52%79.48%
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.89%37.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.11%73.89%
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.57%26.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.41%61.58%
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 27.84%
    Luton Town 44.46%
    Draw 27.68%
Birmingham CityDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 9.72%
2-1 @ 6.41%
2-0 @ 4.82%
3-1 @ 2.12%
3-0 @ 1.59%
3-2 @ 1.41%
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 27.84%
1-1 @ 12.93%
0-0 @ 9.8%
2-2 @ 4.27%
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 27.68%
0-1 @ 13.04%
0-2 @ 8.68%
1-2 @ 8.61%
0-3 @ 3.85%
1-3 @ 3.82%
2-3 @ 1.89%
0-4 @ 1.28%
1-4 @ 1.27%
Other @ 2%
Total : 44.46%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Luton

Birmingham City
19.7%
Draw
25.0%
Luton Town
55.3%
76
Head to Head
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 4
Luton
0-5
Birmingham

Rea (34')
Roberts (7'), Hogan (26', 47'), Gardner (84'), Aneke (88')
Roberts (4')
Feb 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 29
Birmingham
0-1
Luton

San Jose (58'), Harper (62')
Potts (31')
Potts (50')
Nov 24, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 13
Luton
1-1
Birmingham
Pearson (37')
Rea (73')
Jutkiewicz (23' pen.)
Dean (48')
Jan 11, 2020 3pm
Oct 26, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 14
Birmingham
2-1
Luton
Pedersen (45'), Jutkiewicz (82')
Roberts (11')
Cornick (67')
LuaLua (45'), Collins (70'), Cranie (91')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Vikings
9-27
Rams
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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