Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 37.66%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 32.89% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.55%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (11.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.