Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 43.96%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Reading had a probability of 26.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.18%) and 2-1 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.14%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.