Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 47.15%. A win for Reading had a probability of 27% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Reading win was 0-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.