Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 39.68%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 32.11% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.12%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 (10.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.