Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackpool win with a probability of 45.33%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 28.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackpool would win this match.