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Championship | Gameweek 39
Apr 2, 2021 at 3pm UK
Vitality Stadium
Middlesbrough logo

Bournemouth
3 - 1
Middlesbrough

Billing (14'), Lerma (66'), Solanke (83')
Billing (59'), Smith (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Watmore (63')
McNair (69'), Bola (90+1')

The Match

Match Report

Cherries boss Jonathan Woodgate was victorious against former club Boro.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Bournemouth and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 41.9%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 31.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 0-1 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.

Result
BournemouthDrawMiddlesbrough
41.9%26.78%31.33%
Both teams to score 50.63%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.72%54.28%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.32%75.68%
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.41%25.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.54%60.46%
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.04%31.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.59%68.41%
Score Analysis
    Bournemouth 41.89%
    Middlesbrough 31.33%
    Draw 26.77%
BournemouthDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 11.14%
2-1 @ 8.67%
2-0 @ 7.6%
3-1 @ 3.94%
3-0 @ 3.45%
3-2 @ 2.25%
4-1 @ 1.34%
4-0 @ 1.18%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 41.89%
1-1 @ 12.71%
0-0 @ 8.18%
2-2 @ 4.94%
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26.77%
0-1 @ 9.33%
1-2 @ 7.25%
0-2 @ 5.32%
1-3 @ 2.76%
0-3 @ 2.02%
2-3 @ 1.88%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 31.33%

Head to Head
Sep 19, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 2
Middlesbrough
1-1
Bournemouth
Browne (81')
Saville (30')
Solanke (38')
Mepham (51'), Stacey (63')
Oct 24, 2017 7.45pm
Fourth Round
Bournemouth
3-1
Middlesbrough
Simpson (49'), Wilson (75' pen.), Afobe (82')
Tavernier (56')
Fry (39')
Apr 22, 2017 3pm
Bournemouth
4-0
Middlesbrough
King (2'), Afobe (16'), Pugh (65'), Daniels (70')

Ramirez (14'), Friend (58'), Ayala (67')
Ramirez (20')
Oct 29, 2016 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1812422591638
2Burnley1810622361736
3Leeds UnitedLeeds18105331131835
4Sunderland1896326131333
5Middlesbrough1893632211130
6Watford189362624230
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom1861021912728
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn178452117428
9Norwich CityNorwich186753527825
10Millwall176742015525
11Bristol City186752421325
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds187472227-525
13Swansea CitySwansea186571817123
14Stoke CityStoke185671922-321
15Derby CountyDerby185582224-220
16Coventry CityCoventry184682427-318
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd184682028-818
18Preston North EndPreston183961725-818
19Luton TownLuton1853102033-1318
20Cardiff CityCardiff184591728-1117
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth184591838-2017
22Hull City183691726-915
23Queens Park RangersQPR182971526-1115
24Portsmouth162771830-1213


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