Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 49.6%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Swansea City had a probability of 24.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Swansea City win it was 0-1 (7.92%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.