Championship | Gameweek 28
Jan 22, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Ashton Gate
Bristol City3 - 2Cardiff
We said: Bristol City 1-1 Cardiff City
The pressure is on the shoulders of Cardiff more so than Bristol City, but that is something which could stimulate an improved performance. Nevertheless, we can only back this contest to end in a competitive draw. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 41.47%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 30.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (10.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bristol City | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 30.6% | 27.93% | 41.47% |
| Both teams to score 46.96% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
