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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 12
Nov 21, 2020 at 3pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Derby logo

Bristol City
1 - 0
Derby

Diedhiou (78')
Paterson (46')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Buchanan (58')

The Match

Match Report

Bristol City edge the Championship match at Ashton Gate.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship fixture between Bristol City and Derby County, including predictions, team news and lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 40.53%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 32.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bristol City in this match.

Result
Bristol CityDrawDerby County
40.53%26.91%32.55%
Both teams to score 50.62%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.51%54.48%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.15%75.84%
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.6%26.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.44%61.56%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.78%31.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.44%67.56%
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 40.53%
    Derby County 32.55%
    Draw 26.91%
Bristol CityDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 10.97%
2-1 @ 8.51%
2-0 @ 7.31%
3-1 @ 3.78%
3-0 @ 3.25%
3-2 @ 2.2%
4-1 @ 1.26%
4-0 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 40.53%
1-1 @ 12.77%
0-0 @ 8.24%
2-2 @ 4.95%
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26.91%
0-1 @ 9.59%
1-2 @ 7.44%
0-2 @ 5.59%
1-3 @ 2.89%
0-3 @ 2.17%
2-3 @ 1.92%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 32.55%

Head to Head
Feb 12, 2020 7.45pm
Aug 20, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Derby
1-2
Bristol City
Marriott (85')
Huddlestone (79'), Dowell (81')
Weimann (16'), Brownhill (45')
Brownhill (75')
Jul 14, 2019 2.30pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Bristol City
P-P
Derby
Apr 27, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 45
Bristol City
0-2
Derby

Semenyo (59')
Lawrence (18'), Bogle (77')
Bogle (21'), Mount (29'), Lawrence (63'), Bennett (93')
Dec 22, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 23
Derby
1-1
Bristol City
Waghorn (37')
Paterson (24')
Pack (13'), Pisano (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd33226547232470
2Leeds UnitedLeeds32209366194769
3Burnley33171423993065
4Sunderland321711449282162
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn33156123931851
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom331115742311148
7Coventry CityCoventry33138124441347
8Bristol City33111394137446
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds33129124650-445
10Watford33136144348-545
11Middlesbrough32128125043744
12Norwich CityNorwich331111115145644
13Queens Park RangersQPR331111113941-244
14Millwall321011113233-141
15Preston North EndPreston3291493438-441
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd33911133447-1338
17Swansea CitySwansea33107163446-1237
18Portsmouth3399154155-1436
19Stoke CityStoke32811133140-935
20Cardiff CityCardiff32711143554-1932
21Hull City3279163243-1130
22Derby CountyDerby3378183346-1329
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth32610163466-3228
24Luton TownLuton3276193052-2227


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