Championship | Gameweek 21
Dec 4, 2021 at 3pm UK
Ashton Gate
Bristol City1 - 0Derby
We said: Bristol City 1-1 Derby County
With draws becoming less valuable by the game, Derby will push for all three points at Ashton Gate. However, that effort may not prove enough, and we are backing Bristol City to come away with at least a share of the spoils from this contest. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 35.35%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 34.68% and a draw had a probability of 30%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.13%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (12.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bristol City | Draw | Derby County |
| 34.68% | 29.97% | 35.35% |
| Both teams to score 42.22% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
