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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 40.9%. A draw had a probability of 30.3% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 28.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.4%) and 1-2 (7.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.35%), while for a Bristol City win it was 1-0 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Bristol City | Draw | Luton Town |
28.84% | 30.26% | 40.9% |
Both teams to score 40.24% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
33.23% | 66.77% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
14.89% | 85.11% |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.36% | 40.64% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.77% | 77.23% |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.78% | 32.22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.29% | 68.71% |
Score Analysis |
Bristol City | Draw | Luton Town |
1-0 @ 11.78% 2-1 @ 6.01% 2-0 @ 5.31% 3-1 @ 1.81% 3-0 @ 1.59% 3-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.31% Total : 28.83% | 1-1 @ 13.35% 0-0 @ 13.09% 2-2 @ 3.41% Other @ 0.41% Total : 30.26% | 0-1 @ 14.82% 0-2 @ 8.4% 1-2 @ 7.56% 0-3 @ 3.17% 1-3 @ 2.86% 2-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.79% Total : 40.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 29 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 53 | 19 | 34 | 60 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 58 |
3 | Burnley | 29 | 15 | 12 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 57 |
4 | Sunderland | 29 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 55 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 29 | 10 | 14 | 5 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 44 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 47 | 36 | 11 | 44 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 42 |
8 | Bristol City | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 41 |
9 | Watford | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 40 | 41 | -1 | 41 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 41 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 39 |
12 | Coventry CityCoventry | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 38 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 38 |
14 | Preston North EndPreston | 29 | 8 | 13 | 8 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 37 |
15 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 36 |
16 | Millwall | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 34 |
17 | Swansea CitySwansea | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 34 |
18 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 31 |
19 | Hull City | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 29 |
20 | Stoke CityStoke | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 29 |
21 | Portsmouth | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 36 | 51 | -15 | 29 |
22 | Derby CountyDerby | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 27 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 26 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 29 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 27 | 62 | -35 | 22 |
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