Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 41.23%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 29.79% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.18%) and 1-2 (8.02%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (10.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.