Championship | Gameweek 19
Nov 24, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Ashton Gate
Bristol City1 - 0Stoke
We said: Bristol City 1-2 Stoke City
Bristol City have been on an upward trajectory at home, their return from the last two games the best in nine months. However, we cannot look past Stoke, who have the qualities to edge a close game at Ashton Gate. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 50.62%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 22.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.38%) and 1-2 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.42%), while for a Bristol City win it was 1-0 (8.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bristol City | Draw | Stoke City |
| 22.49% | 26.89% | 50.62% |
| Both teams to score 43.97% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
