Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 37.79%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 35.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.