We said: Coventry City 2-1 Queens Park Rangers
A few weeks ago, we would have been backing QPR to edge a competitive encounter by the odd goal in three. However, we are now predicting the opposite scoreline, the Sky Blues consistently showing that they are capable of edging tight matches.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 45.07%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 28.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Coventry City would win this match.