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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 45.07%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 28.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Coventry City would win this match.
Result | ||
Coventry City | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
45.07% ( 0.07) | 26.74% ( -0) | 28.19% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 49.18% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.6% ( -0.01) | 55.4% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.4% ( -0.01) | 76.6% ( 0.01) |
Coventry City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.52% ( 0.03) | 24.48% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.06% ( 0.04) | 58.94% ( -0.04) |
Queens Park Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.13% ( -0.06) | 34.87% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.39% ( -0.06) | 71.61% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Coventry City | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
1-0 @ 12.01% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.91% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.18% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.2% 4-1 @ 1.47% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.5% Total : 45.07% | 1-1 @ 12.65% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.54% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0) Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.73% | 0-1 @ 9% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.67% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.74% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0) Other @ 2.14% Total : 28.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 28 |
2 | Burnley | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 23 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 22 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 21 |
6 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 19 |
7 | Watford | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 19 |
8 | Norwich CityNorwich | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 18 |
9 | Middlesbrough | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 18 |
10 | Millwall | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 16 |
11 | Bristol City | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 16 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 15 |
13 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 15 |
14 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 14 |
15 | Hull City | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 14 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 14 |
17 | Swansea CitySwansea | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 13 |
18 | Coventry CityCoventry | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 12 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 12 |
20 | Luton TownLuton | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 12 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 12 |
22 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 12 |
23 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 9 |
24 | Portsmouth | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 8 |
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