Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 37.49%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 35.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 0-1 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.