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Championship | Gameweek 39
Jun 27, 2020 at 1pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Reading logo

Derby
2 - 1
Reading

Lawrence (44'), Rooney (45+2' pen.)
Lawrence (13'), Shinnie (74'), Holmes (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Rinomhota (62')

The Match

Match Report

The Rams have won their last four league games.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship meeting between Derby County and Reading, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 49.62%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Reading had a probability of 24.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (7.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.

Result
Derby CountyDrawReading
49.62%25.67%24.71%
Both teams to score 49.56%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.45%53.55%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.94%75.06%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.39%21.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.29%54.71%
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.22%36.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.43%73.57%
Score Analysis
    Derby County 49.61%
    Reading 24.71%
    Draw 25.66%
Derby CountyDrawReading
1-0 @ 12.17%
2-1 @ 9.33%
2-0 @ 9.33%
3-1 @ 4.77%
3-0 @ 4.76%
3-2 @ 2.38%
4-1 @ 1.83%
4-0 @ 1.83%
4-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 49.61%
1-1 @ 12.17%
0-0 @ 7.95%
2-2 @ 4.67%
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 25.66%
0-1 @ 7.95%
1-2 @ 6.09%
0-2 @ 3.98%
1-3 @ 2.03%
2-3 @ 1.56%
0-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 24.71%

Head to Head
Dec 21, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 23
Reading
3-0
Derby
Adam (5' pen.), Joao (58'), Meite (87' pen.)
Adam (62'), Blackett (82')

Lawrence (36'), Knight (55'), Lowe (60'), Holmes (74'), Bogle (80'), Sibley (82'), Forsyth (86')
Malone (4')
Jan 19, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 28
Derby
2-1
Reading
Holmes (3'), Wilson (40')
Malone (69'), Holmes (81')
Aluko (66')
Ejaria (65')
Aug 3, 2018 8pm
Gameweek 1
Reading
1-2
Derby
Dadi Bodvarsson (52')
Meyler (37'), Kelly (38'), Meite (88')
Mount (60'), Lawrence (90')
Wisdom (22'), Bryson (43'), Lowe (46'), Johnson (88')
Feb 24, 2018 3pm
Reading
3-3
Derby
Kelly (16'), Barrow (32'), Dadi Bodvarsson (80')
Richards (49'), Moore (83')
Palmer (6'), Keogh (35'), Lawrence (46')
Olsson (20'), Palmer (50'), Keogh (83'), Weimann (83'), Carson (86')
Baird (85')
Nov 4, 2017 3pm
Derby
2-4
Reading
Russell (71'), Martin (90')
Winnall (23'), Nugent (60'), Johnson (81'), Martin (84')
Moore (9'), Aluko (13'), Beerens (54'), Barrow (75')
Gunter (32'), Barrow (67'), Mannone (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd33226547232470
2Leeds UnitedLeeds32209366194769
3Burnley33171423993065
4Sunderland321711449282162
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn33156123931851
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom331115742311148
7Coventry CityCoventry33138124441347
8Bristol City33111394137446
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds33129124650-445
10Watford33136144348-545
11Middlesbrough32128125043744
12Norwich CityNorwich331111115145644
13Queens Park RangersQPR331111113941-244
14Millwall321011113233-141
15Preston North EndPreston3291493438-441
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd33911133447-1338
17Swansea CitySwansea33107163446-1237
18Portsmouth3399154155-1436
19Stoke CityStoke32811133140-935
20Cardiff CityCardiff32711143554-1932
21Hull City3279163243-1130
22Derby CountyDerby3378183346-1329
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth32610163466-3228
24Luton TownLuton3276193052-2227


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