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Championship | Gameweek 39
Jun 27, 2020 at 1pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Reading logo

Derby
2 - 1
Reading

Lawrence (44'), Rooney (45+2' pen.)
Lawrence (13'), Shinnie (74'), Holmes (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Rinomhota (62')

The Match

Match Report

The Rams have won their last four league games.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship meeting between Derby County and Reading, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 49.62%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Reading had a probability of 24.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (7.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.

Result
Derby CountyDrawReading
49.62%25.67%24.71%
Both teams to score 49.56%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.45%53.55%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.94%75.06%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.39%21.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.29%54.71%
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.22%36.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.43%73.57%
Score Analysis
    Derby County 49.61%
    Reading 24.71%
    Draw 25.66%
Derby CountyDrawReading
1-0 @ 12.17%
2-1 @ 9.33%
2-0 @ 9.33%
3-1 @ 4.77%
3-0 @ 4.76%
3-2 @ 2.38%
4-1 @ 1.83%
4-0 @ 1.83%
4-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 49.61%
1-1 @ 12.17%
0-0 @ 7.95%
2-2 @ 4.67%
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 25.66%
0-1 @ 7.95%
1-2 @ 6.09%
0-2 @ 3.98%
1-3 @ 2.03%
2-3 @ 1.56%
0-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 24.71%

Head to Head
Dec 21, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 23
Reading
3-0
Derby
Adam (5' pen.), Joao (58'), Meite (87' pen.)
Adam (62'), Blackett (82')

Lawrence (36'), Knight (55'), Lowe (60'), Holmes (74'), Bogle (80'), Sibley (82'), Forsyth (86')
Malone (4')
Jan 19, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 28
Derby
2-1
Reading
Holmes (3'), Wilson (40')
Malone (69'), Holmes (81')
Aluko (66')
Ejaria (65')
Aug 3, 2018 8pm
Gameweek 1
Reading
1-2
Derby
Dadi Bodvarsson (52')
Meyler (37'), Kelly (38'), Meite (88')
Mount (60'), Lawrence (90')
Wisdom (22'), Bryson (43'), Lowe (46'), Johnson (88')
Feb 24, 2018 3pm
Reading
3-3
Derby
Kelly (16'), Barrow (32'), Dadi Bodvarsson (80')
Richards (49'), Moore (83')
Palmer (6'), Keogh (35'), Lawrence (46')
Olsson (20'), Palmer (50'), Keogh (83'), Weimann (83'), Carson (86')
Baird (85')
Nov 4, 2017 3pm
Derby
2-4
Reading
Russell (71'), Martin (90')
Winnall (23'), Nugent (60'), Johnson (81'), Martin (84')
Moore (9'), Aluko (13'), Beerens (54'), Barrow (75')
Gunter (32'), Barrow (67'), Mannone (84')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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