Championship | Gameweek 10
Sep 29, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Pride Park
Derby1 - 0Reading
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 41.64%. A win for Reading had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Reading win was 0-1 (10.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Derby County in this match.
| Result | ||
| Derby County | Draw | Reading |
| 41.64% | 28.18% | 30.18% |
| Both teams to score 46.11% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
