Championship

Jul 30, 2020 at 7.45pm UK

Craven Cottage

Fulham
1 - 2
Cardiff

Kebano (9')
Reid (50'), Rodak (59'), Christie (69'), Onomah (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Nelson (8'), Tomlin (47')
Morrison (35'), Bacuna (45+2'), Vaulks (52'), Ralls (62')

Scott Parker looks ahead to playoff final with Brentford

The Cottagers held on to beat Cardiff.

Jul 31, 00:01

The Match

Match Report

The Cottagers lost 2-1 at home to the battling Bluebirds but prevailed on aggregate.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Championship playoff semi-final second leg between Fulham and Cardiff City, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 50.58%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 25.89% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-2 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Fulham	Draw	Cardiff City
50.58%	23.53%	25.89%

Both teams to score 57.46%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.32%

43.68%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.92%

66.07%

Fulham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.65%

17.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.25%

47.74%

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.52%

30.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.31%

66.69%

Score Analysis

Fulham 50.58%

Cardiff City 25.89%

Draw 23.52%

Fulham	Draw	Cardiff City
2-1 @ 9.64% 1-0 @ 9.26% 2-0 @ 8.11% 3-1 @ 5.63% 3-0 @ 4.74% 3-2 @ 3.34% 4-1 @ 2.46% 4-0 @ 2.07% 4-2 @ 1.46% Other @ 3.86% Total : 50.58%	1-1 @ 11% 2-2 @ 5.73% 0-0 @ 5.29% 3-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.52%	1-2 @ 6.54% 0-1 @ 6.28% 0-2 @ 3.73% 1-3 @ 2.59% 2-3 @ 2.27% 0-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 3% Total : 25.89%