Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 60.49%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Reading had a probability of 15.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.03%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.