Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 41.77%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 29.35% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.3%) and 2-1 (8.08%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (10.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.